Ben Davis
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #102
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #32
Ben Davis Regional Rank #7
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 3.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Avon Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Marion County Championship Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 793 711 704 746 769 788 800 816
Team Adjusted Rating 711 704 746 769 788 800 816
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Avon Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Marion County Championship Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
302  Jesse Vargas 10 17:15 16:56 17:11 17:05 16:56 17:20 17:16 17:24 17:50
644  Hayden Baldwin 10 17:50 17:42 17:49 17:52 17:35 17:58 17:54 17:53
829  Carlos Davalos 10 18:05 18:14 18:07 18:06 18:09 18:01 18:12 17:45
1,050  Maurice Macklin 12 18:21 18:02 18:00 18:36 18:24 18:33 18:22 18:23
1,139  Zach Brickler 9 18:28 18:02 18:48 18:30 18:35 18:03 18:23 18:53
1,187  Yonas Araya 11 18:31 18:23 17:44 18:04 19:02 18:53 18:21 18:52
1,194  Jahi Flowers 11 18:31 18:15 18:08 18:18 18:40 18:46 18:40
Isaak Faulk 9 19:04 19:00 19:25 18:37 18:44 19:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 3.6% 18.0 463 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.6
Regionals 100% 7.5 188 0.0 0.8 2.7 13.5 30.5 36.0 13.1 3.3
Sectionals 100% 3.2 91 0.1 80.7 16.4 2.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesse Vargas 99.1% 87.6 99.0% 99.1%
Hayden Baldwin 25.4% 126.3 22.6% 24.5%
Carlos Davalos 4.8% 137.2 1.3% 2.0%
Maurice Macklin 3.6% 152.7 0.0% 0.0%
Zach Brickler 3.6% 158.0 0.0% 0.0%
Yonas Araya 3.6% 160.1 0.0% 0.0%
Jahi Flowers 3.6% 160.2 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesse Vargas 100% 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.3 3.1 3.6 5.4 7.0 7.8 8.9 9.8 9.4 9.0 7.5 100.0%
Hayden Baldwin 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Carlos Davalos 100% 44.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Maurice Macklin 100% 54.5 100.0%
Zach Brickler 100% 59.3 100.0%
Yonas Araya 100% 61.8 100.0%
Jahi Flowers 100% 62.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jesse Vargas 8.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.0 6.8 9.2 14.7 24.7 15.5 14.5 7.4 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Hayden Baldwin 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.1 5.4 10.7 13.5 15.4 15.3 14.7 13.5 5.0 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Carlos Davalos 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.9 7.2 10.8 15.2 26.1 13.5 7.4 4.7 3.5 2.5 1.2
Maurice Macklin 22.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.5 11.8 12.8 11.4 9.8 9.6 8.2
Zach Brickler 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.4 4.1 6.7 8.1 8.3 7.9 9.3
Yonas Araya 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.5 3.8 5.3 6.8 7.0 8.2
Jahi Flowers 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.1 4.0 5.1 6.1 7.1 7.5